The European Business Council for Africa

Two conflict trends as seen by Crisis Group analysts  

➤ Chad: A Boko Haram attack on a Lake Chad fishing village in the country’s western region killed over a dozen people on Tuesday. Crisis Group expert Thibaud Lesueur says that the region has long been susceptible to such attacks due to its close proximity to Boko Haram heartlands in north east Nigeria. Despite some operational successes, the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF) in the Lake Chad Basin created in 2015 has had only a marginal impact on the regional threat posed by Boko Haram. As the resilient jihadist insurgency shows no sign of abating, regional cooperation on civilian and military fronts is more vital than ever.

➤ India: At least five people were killed in nationwide protests against a controversial law that offers citizenship to non-Muslim refugees from Pakistan, Bangladesh and Afghanistan. Crisis Group expert Pierre Prakash says although the law does not affect Indian Muslims directly, it is widely perceived as being contrary to India’s secular Constitution, and many Muslims fear its combination with the planned National Register of Citizens could result in making them stateless. The unexpected level of – sometimes violent – protests also points to growing discontent among the youth over the government's deeply divisive Hindu nationalist agenda. 
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